Senator", "Pennsylvania Man Says He Will be an Independent Candidate for Governor in 2022", "Schuylkill County man running for Pa. governor as independent candidate", "Political outsider running for Pennsylvania House seat to represent part of Berks, Schuylkill", "Sen. Mastriano unveils new bill aimed at protecting confederate monuments", "Doug Mastriano's plan to allow armed teachers and staff in schools brings strong reaction from Josh Shapiro", "Rally held at Capitol to protest mask mandates, Gov. Gerow with 3%; Hart with 2%; Gale and Zama with 1%, Gerow with 3%; Hart, Gale, and "Other" with 1%; Zama with 0%, Hart with 4%, Gale with 3%, Gerow with 2%, Hart with 4%; Gale with 2%; Gerow, Zama, and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%, "Someone else" with 5%; Hart and Zama with 2%; Gale and Gerow with 1%, Hart with 4%, Gale and Zama with 2%, Gerow with 1%, "Someone else" with 7%, Gale and Hart with 3%, Gerow with 1%, Zama with 0%, Gale, Gerow, and Hart with 3%; Zama with 2%, Gale and Hart with 3%; Gerow with 2%; Zama with 0%, Zama and "Other" (volunteered response) with 1%, "None/other" with 4%; Gale and Richey with 1%; Ciarrocchi, Gerow, Laughlin, and Zama with 0%, Meuser with 3%, Cawley with 2%, "None/other" with 1%; Gale and Richey with 1%, Withdrew after deadline, remained on ballot, Hackenburg (L) with 1%; "All others" with 2%, Hackenburg (L) with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%, Hackenburg (L) with 2%; DiGiulio (G) with 1%, Hackenburg (L) with 2%; DiGiulio (G) with 2%; Soloski (K) with <1%; "Someone else" with 1%, Hackenburg (L) with 1%; Soloski (K) with 1%; DiGuilio (G) with <1%, Hackenburg (L) with 2%, Soloski (K) with 1%, Digiulio (G) with 1%, Hackenburg (L) with <1%; Digiulio (G) with <1%; Soloski (K) with <1%, Hackenburg (L) with 3%, "someone else" with 1%, "Some other candidate" with 3%; Hackenburg (L) with 2%; "Not going to vote" with 1%, DiGuilo (G), Hackenburg (L) and Soloski (K) with 1%, DiGuilo (G) and Hackenburg (L) with 1%; Soloski (K) with <1%, Hackenburg (L) with 3%; "Someone else" with 1%, Hackenburg (L) with 2%; DiGiulio (G) and "Some other candidate" with 1%; Soloski (K) with 0%, DiGuilo (G) and Hackenburg (L) with 1%; Soloski (K) and "someone else" with <1%, Poll sponsored by the Democratic Governors Association, This poll was sponsored by Center Street PAC, which opposes Mastriano, This poll was sponsored by the Environmental Voter Project, This poll was sponsored by EDF Action and NRDC Action Fund, Last edited on 28 February 2023, at 23:35, 2022 United States gubernatorial elections, Pennsylvania's 2nd congressional district, Pennsylvania's 13th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 8th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 4th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 3rd congressional district, Pennsylvania's 7th congressional district, American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees, Eastern Atlantic States Regional Council of Carpenters, Greater Pennsylvania Regional Council of Carpenters, International Brotherhood of Boilermakers, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers, International Union of Operating Engineers, Laborers' International Union of North America, Sheet Metal Workers' International Association, President pro tempore of the Pennsylvania Senate, Speaker of the Pennsylvania House of Representatives, Pennsylvania's 17th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 1st congressional district, Pennsylvania's 16th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 9th congressional district, White House Chief Strategist and Senior Counselor to the President, White House Director of Political Affairs, Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district, Speaker of the United States House of Representatives, Pennsylvania's 15th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district, conspiracy theories about the 2020 election, United States Secretary of Homeland Security, Pennsylvania Department of Public Welfare, Wyoming's at-large congressional district, Pennsylvania's 6th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 5th congressional district, Association of Pennsylvania State College and University Faculties, Pennsylvania Association of Staff Nurses and Allied Professionals, Pennsylvania Professional Firefighters Association, National Democratic Redistricting Committee, Gettysburg National Battlefield Museum Foundation, United States Secretary of Housing and Urban Development, Pennsylvania's 11th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 10th congressional district, Pennsylvania's 14th congressional district, America First Secretary of State Coalition, Pennsylvania's 21st congressional district, "Pennsylvania GOP panics over possible Mastriano nomination", "Doug Mastriano, a far-right 2020 election denier, is Pennsylvania Republicans' choice for governor", "Far-right election denier Mastriano wins GOP race for governor in Pennsylvania", "A far-right election denier wins GOP governor primary in swing state of Pennsylvania", "Pennsylvania Democrats kept suburbs, gained rural voters", "The Jewish Obama, Niceness Makes a Comeback, The Best PA Reporter Commutes From London (Midterm election recap)", "Despite Still Not Having Announced His Run, Abington's Josh Shapiro is Presumptive Democratic Nomination for Governor", "How Josh Shapiro locked down the Democratic nomination for governor without even announcing he would run", "Everyone's already talking about Pennsylvania's big 2022 elections. Arizona, Wisconsin move to Leans Republican; Kansas, Oregon to Leans Democratic. Nobodys accuracy record is perfect but California is a one-party state that ensures the election count comes out the way it wants it to. Except for Adams and Franklin counties, Lancaster and York were once again carried by single digits by the Republican gubernatorial candidate just like 2018, as Mastriano's extremist views likely turned off moderate Republicans in these areas. The final2022 Governor Power Rankingsfrom Fox News. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities, deepening as the likelihood of winning increases: Leans (60%+), Likely (75%+), Safe (95%+). The gubernatorial race is leaning heavily towards Democratic candidate, Josh Shapiro, hoping to succeed Governor Tom Wolf (D) who is restricted to run again due to term limits in the state. The four candidates are Related Stories. Our Governor forecast features polling and predictions for six different potential general election matchups, updated daily with the latest information. For more details about Josh Shapiros donation data. The lackluster likeability ratings for Oz and Dung make this Trafalger poll an outlier. I've taken the odds above from the political betting section on their sportsbook. We rated every race in play in 2022. Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Donald Trump? Your example isnt anywhere near enough to dispute Trafalgars record. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast. The result was similar to the polls. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own gubernatorial forecast. Talking about his expenditure, he has already spent $1,589,403 on his campaign. var _enxt = _enxt || []; SNDL Stock Forecast 2023: Will SNDL Reach $3? PayPal Stock Forecast 2023: PYPL 12 Months Price Target Lowered to $100.6. [316], 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election at Ballotpedia. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by at least six of them are shown in the darkest shade. 3-Day Forecast. Nov. 8, 2022, Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. Tom Wolf won the election and he polled 57.8% vote share. The final 2022 governor race ratings from Cook Political Report. As of 1 p.m. on July 5, Shapiro is favored to win Pennsylvania's election for Governor, defeating State Senator Doug Mastriano in 74% of models. ", "Pennsylvania Attorney General Josh Shapiro visits State College to campaign for governor position", "Shapiro makes his case for governor to Philly ministers", "Former Sixers announcer Marc Zumoff, Pa. Attorney General Josh Shapiro troll Ben Simmons in gubernatorial campaign ad", "W.Pa. Jacobson is a senior correspondent with PolitiFact and senior author of theAlmanac of American Politics 2022. Montgomery and Delaware County are especially important. Looking for the Pennsylvania Senate Forecast? The state's governors wield a vast amount of power. Trafalgar asserted that Trump not only would win in 2020 (he lost by seven million votes) but also that Trump would take Pennsylvania, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and Michigan. The veto pen of outgoing, term-limited Democratic Gov. Almost all the polls gave Tom Wolf over 10% lead over Scott Wagner. The 2022 Governor Election in Pennsylvania is set to take place on November 8th, 2022. Corbett won the election by 9% and went on to become the Governor of Pennsylvania. They propose a yearly spending plan that sets the course for months of policy debates with the General Assembly on issues including education spending and taxes. Mastriano took a hardline stance on the practice, saying it shouldnt be allowed even in cases of rape or incest or if the health of the parent is at risk due to the pregnancy. The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which names the party whose candidate wins the 2022 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election. a ban on abortions beyond six weeks of pregnancy, Majority of 16k Canceled Pennsylvania Mail-In Ballots Were From Democrats, On a New Map, Pennsylvania Elects Most Diverse Assembly Ever, July prompted nine fellow Pennsylvania Republicans to break from their party and back Shapiro, New Jersey Bill Seeks to Ban Sale of Baby Wipes, Check Your Change! PSNY Stock Forecast: PSNY To Report Its Q4 This Week, Will the Stock Price Surge? RacetotheWH is projecting the results for every Governor and Senate election in 2022. November 5:Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin move from Toss-up to Leans R; Connecticut Likely to Safe D; Kansas, Oregon Toss-up to Leans D; New Mexico Leans to Likely D; South Dakota, Texas Likely to Safe R. The final 2022 Governor ratings fromElections Daily, a site that provides nonpartisan election coverage. Brian Kemp's strength at the top of the ticket. [180] Mastriano also drew accusations of antisemitism and for using anti-semitic dogwhistles against Shapiro (who is Jewish). He defended the integrity of the election, protected the right to vote, and has always supported reproductive rights. 'That's my guy. ", "How Josh Shapiro is trying to turn out Black voters in Philly, a crucial group for Democrats", "Pa. GOP players form pro-Shapiro PAC to buck 'unacceptable' Mastriano", "Governors races take on new prominence, with higher stakes", "Unlikely duo: John Fetterman, Josh Shapiro aim for united front", "Democrat Josh Shapiro picks up Republican endorsements in race for governor", "Shapiro endorses western Pa. representative for lieutenant governor", "Cheney says she'll campaign against Lake and Mastriano because of their election denials", "Leading GOP candidates in Pennsylvania were in Washington on Jan. 6", "Austin Davis announces bid for lieutenant governor, backed by Josh Shapiro", "Dems to launch statewide tour, arguing GOP is 'too extreme' for Pa. voters", "With Roe v. Wade gone, both sides see Pa. as a battlefield for the future of abortion rights", "Kinzinger endorses Dems in major governor, secretary of state races", "Shapiro uses Swarthmore visit to outline how he sees gubernatorial race", "Josh Shapiro, Austin Davis announce $1.4 million campaign to reach Black voters in Pa", "Gubernatorial candidate Josh Shapiro stops in Erie part of bus tour", "We've seen firsthand that to defend reproductive rights and protect our freedoms, we need a Democratic governor", "Josh Shapiro, John Fetterman Hold 'Rally In The Valley' Event At Old Main", "Shapiro joins Fiedler, Saval for launch of South Philly Voter Project", "Once Alarmed, Mainstream Pennsylvania Republicans Unite Around Mastriano", "Shapiro hosts community conversation in West Philly on criminal justice reform, how to keep communities safe", "President Biden emphasizes union support at United Steelworkers Labor Day event in West Mifflin", "Shapiro rallies in Beaver County a week before election", "Bucks County Republicans Fundraise For Shapiro, Blast Mastriano", "Mastriano mocks Shapiro as 'little Josh.' The last 3 Governor elections in Pennsylvania were held in the year 2010, 2014, and 2018. In the chase for the governors mansion, Republican state senatorDoug Mastriano trails Pennsylvania Attorney GeneralJosh Shapiro by just a pair of percentage points. October 7:Oklahoma moves from Safe to Likely Republican; Oregon Tilts Democratic to Toss-up; Pennsylvania Tilts to Leans Democratic. Lawmakers Propose 4-Day Work Week Legislation, Allegheny County Democrats Prepare For Endorsement Meeting, Mastriano trails Shapiro by a 47.4% to 45.4% margin. October 28:Connecticut moves from Likely to Safe Democratic; Michigan Likely to Leans Democratic; New York Safe to Likely Democratic.